Stock Market Futures: Looking at All of the Options

Stock Market Futures: Looking at All of the Options

By Justin Kuepper

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Equity index futures are cash-settled futures contracts that traders use to either hedge their portfolios or speculate on future price movements. Since there are no physical commodities being traded, equity index futures are valued using the risk-free interest rate minus the index’s estimated dividend yield. In this article, we’ll take a look at the most popular equity index futures in the United States.

Major U.S. Index Futures

Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (“DJIA”) is one of the most popular U.S. stock market indexes, consisting of 30 of the largest and most influential publicly traded U.S. company's. According to the CME Group, the index trades in $10.00 index point values during regular futures trading hours with quarterly contract months ending in March, June, September, and December on the third Friday of the month.

In addition to the standard DJIA futures contracts, traders can also buy and sell Big Dow futures that are issued in $25.00 point values or Dow E-Minis that are issued in $5.00 point values. Big Dow futures might make more sense for larger institutions, while smaller individual traders primarily use Dow E-Minis. There may also be differences in liquidity in these groups based on the size of the contracts [see also Ten Commandments of Futures Trading].

S&P 500

The Standard & Poor’s 500 (“S&P 500”) is another popular U.S. stock market index given its greater breadth, consisting of the 500 largest publicly traded U.S. company's. According to the CME Group, the index trades in $25.00 index point values during regular futures trading hours with quarterly contract months ending in March, June, September, and December on the third Friday of the month.

In addition to the standard S&P 500 futures contracts, traders can also buy and sell S&P 500 E-Mini contracts with $12.50 point values. Larger institutional traders might prefer the traditional futures, while smaller individual traders might appreciate the smaller contract sizes offered by the e-minis. But again, there may be liquidity differences between the two different contract sizes.

S&P 500 E-Mini Futures Quote
Figure 1 – S&P 500 E-Mini Futures Quote – Source: CME Group

NASDAQ 100

The NASDAQ 100 is a popular U.S. stock market index tracking technology stocks, consisting of the largest 100 U.S. publicly traded company's trading on the NASDAQ stock exchange. According to the CME Group, the index trades in $100.00 index point values during regular futures trading hours with quarterly contract months ending in March, June, September, and December on the third Friday of the month.

In addition to the standard NASDAQ 100 futures contracts, traders can also buy and sell NASDAQ 100 E-Mini contracts with $20.00 point values. NASDAQ Composite and NASDAQ Biotechnology futures contracts are also available in order to achieve either greater diversification beyond the 100 largest public company's or specific exposure to biotechnology stocks listed on the exchange, respectively.

Minor U.S. Index Futures

Traders looking for specific exposure to certain market capitalizations or industries have a number of different choices, although these futures contracts tend to be less liquid than the aforementioned major equity index futures. In particular, traders should be careful before entering into long-term futures contracts in these niche areas given the lack of liquidity until they come to term.

Some popular alternative index futures include:

  • S&P E-Minis – The S&P provides a number of industry-specific e-mini futures contracts, ranging from technology to consumer discretionary. These contracts trade in $100 index point values during regular futures hours.
  • S&P Market Cap – The S&P provides a number of traditional and e-mini futures contracts based on market capitalization, such as S&P Small-Cap or S&P Mid-Cap futures contracts in various index point denominations.

Traders can use these specific contracts in order to gain exposure to specific industries or asset classes. For example, a trader may decide to sell S&P Technology e-mini futures if Google or Yahoo were to put out a bearish earnings report. The trader could subsequently profit if these trends were indicative of the technology sector as a whole and future technology earnings reports ended up being bearish.

The Bottom Line

Equity index futures are cash-settled contracts that enable traders to bet on the future direction of major stock market indexes. For example, the S&P 500 E-Minis are among the most widely traded futures contracts and enable traders to bet on the future direction of the S&P 500 index without having to buy or short-sell the index or exchange-traded fund (“ETF”) associated with the index.

There are many different equity index futures available through exchanges like the CME Group (as mentioned in this article), but traders should be aware that some of the more niche contracts have limited liquidity compared to their mainstream counterparts. Traders should carefully consider these risks before buying and selling futures contracts, especially when they are dated into the distant future.

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Did you know that...

  • These stocks typically reinvest a significant portion, if not all, of their profits back into the business, often forgoing dividends in the short term for potential long-term gains?
  • The beta of a stock measures its volatility in relation to the overall market, helping investors gauge the stock's risk relative to the broader market?
  • The concept of 'economic value added' (eva) measures a company's return on capital against its cost of capital?
  • The time value of money concept emphasizes that a dollar today is worth more than a dollar in the future due to its potential earning capacity?
  • Journaling investment decisions, along with the rationale behind them, can offer valuable insights into one's investing psychology over time?

Quotes of the Day:

  • "The best way to make money in the stock market is to buy great companies at reasonable prices and hold them for the long term." - Julian Robertson
  • "Investing is about being able to separate the signal from the noise." - Mario Gabelli
  • "If you aren't willing to own a stock for ten years, don't even think about owning it for ten minutes." - Warren Buffett
  • "Investing is about finding companies that are well-positioned to benefit from long-term trends and holding onto them for the long haul." - Ron Baron
  • "The key to successful investing is to be able to identify trends before they become mainstream." - John Paulson

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